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View Full Version : Ratings predictions Dec 2009!



Saragossa
25-10-2009, 07:42 PM
Starting the thread kind of early because I just completed the last non-rapid chess tournament this period. Using the aid of Barry's calculator I have concluded that I will be >1600 (1619 give or take a few) which means over a year I've moved from 1408 to 1600ish! Goal achieved well done me. Bragging rights (I'm allowed to come off as an arrogant ##### because it's my birthday). End brag/

Adamski
25-10-2009, 07:57 PM
As someone who has got the odd year wrong himself, I note that the thread title should say 2010!! Can a Mod fix this please?

Bill Gletsos
25-10-2009, 08:09 PM
As someone who has got the odd year wrong himself, I note that the thread title should say 2010!!Actually he has the year right but the month wrong as the ACF ratings come out on 1st December 2009.

Can a Mod fix this please?I have corrected the month.

Saragossa
25-10-2009, 09:52 PM
Actually he has the year right but the month wrong as the ACF ratings come out on 1st December 2009.
I have corrected the month.

Thankyou Bill. And thankyou Adamski because if they had of being coming out this January then it would have been 2010.

Adamski
26-10-2009, 12:08 PM
As I only have 2 competition games left in the time remaining for the next ratings update, I am sad to say my rating is likely to go down again. Too many blunders brought on by tiredness due to busy days at work preceding my games.

Garvinator
26-10-2009, 12:43 PM
As I only have 2 competition games left in the time remaining for the next ratings update, I am sad to say my rating is likely to go down again. Too many blunders brought on by tiredness due to busy days at work preceding my games.
Foot fault. The excuse you are suppose to use is that the tiredness is brought on by attempting to organise the Aus Champs ;)

Adamski
26-10-2009, 07:38 PM
Foot fault. The excuse you are suppose to use is that the tiredness is brought on by attempting to organise the Aus Champs ;)That is, indeed, also a contributing factor to my rating demise. But rumours of my (chess-playing) death are exaggerated (I hope)! (With apologies to Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, a fine writer.)

Trent Parker
26-10-2009, 11:44 PM
Well I hope not many New south welshmen/women will be posting here just yet....
Fisher's Ghost lol

Kevin Bonham
27-10-2009, 12:20 AM
Probably down below 1900 again (sigh!) once my losses to M Bretag and Steward are taken into account. But perhaps only below by 5 or so points, if I don't concede anything in remaining HICC event games.

Adamski
27-10-2009, 06:26 AM
Well I hope not many New south welshmen/women will be posting here just yet....
Fisher's Ghost lolIt's a long way from Dee Why to Campbelltown way. Besides I have a show not too long afterwards to perform in - Pirates of Penzance. But good luck for the tournament. I hope it is a success. ARRRRGGGHH!

Trent Parker
27-10-2009, 07:38 AM
It's a long way from Dee Why to Campbelltown way.

Probably about the same distance as Picton is to Norths.... :whistle:

Just kidding adamski...

Alana
27-10-2009, 11:11 AM
I'm not sure what my rating is doing, I think it will be around the same, maybe just going up. As long as I stay above 1400 I'm happy. :)

Thunderspirit
29-10-2009, 06:34 PM
I'm currently 1599, which in years gone past I would have poured compliments and awe to our beloved ratings officer. Now it reminds me that I'm a bunyip and was 1595 as far back as 2002.

My highest ever rating was 1661. I'm demanding of myself in the first instance to be >1600 and it would be nice to be over 1650...

Adamski
29-10-2009, 10:35 PM
I'm currently 1599, which in years gone past I would have poured compliments and awe to our beloved ratings officer. Now it reminds me that I'm a bunyip and was 1595 as far back as 2002.

My highest ever rating was 1661. I'm demanding of myself in the first instance to be >1600 and it would be nice to be over 1650...Hey Lee, we have much in common here. My current rating is one of my lowest, 1559 (and next one will be lower, barring a taken chance for a big upset in the Ford - an opportunity dependent on the vagaries of the last round draw). My best has been 1666, back in NZ. And like you I am a past arbiter. Hope to see you again in Sydney! Your current rating must give you a great chance in any of the Under 1600 events. Myself, I am playing in the norths Classic, 7 rounds rather than 11.

Thunderspirit
30-10-2009, 04:18 PM
Hey Lee, we have much in common here. My current rating is one of my lowest, 1559 (and next one will be lower, barring a taken chance for a big upset in the Ford - an opportunity dependent on the vagaries of the last round draw). My best has been 1666, back in NZ. And like you I am a past arbiter. Hope to see you again in Sydney! Your current rating must give you a great chance in any of the Under 1600 events. Myself, I am playing in the norths Classic, 7 rounds rather than 11.

I no longer plan to play U1600 events, my last U1600 was Doeberl Minor which I have been top seed no less than five times, but have not even one minor place in all those occassions. Even if I did win I would be embarrassed, as I should have won a minor closer to ten than five years ago.

The reason I played them for so long was of course the name in lights for 10 seconds, but partially due to some great advice Brett Tindall once gave me on 'playing up' in tournaments. 'Playing up' can be a great cop out, where you can play bad chess, scam a draw or two and go up points. In the minor I had to play good chess every round, which is much harder. John-Paul Wallace once commented that to win a divisional event, you need to play at about 200 points above the cut off. I never played at 1800 in Doeberl minor and usually played at 1400.

Now my aims are a little different. I would like to be 1800 (or A Grade). This in itself means little, buts it goal none-the-less. Also while I concede that its a little obsessive that I know that I'm 31st highest patzer in the ACT, movement up this list serves as more motivation than winning a minor.

I've moved on from that...

Saragossa
30-10-2009, 04:25 PM
I'm just trying to stick to the rating= agex100. So when I turn 30 I expect to be the highest rated player in the world XD naww I just use it as a system to gauge my improvement and all I know is that I have a really tough job ahead of me next year!

Adamski
31-10-2009, 09:57 PM
I no longer plan to play U1600 events, my last U1600 was Doeberl Minor which I have been top seed no less than five times, but have not even one minor place in all those occassions. Even if I did win I would be embarrassed, as I should have won a minor closer to ten than five years ago.

The reason I played them for so long was of course the name in lights for 10 seconds, but partially due to some great advice Brett Tindall once gave me on 'playing up' in tournaments. 'Playing up' can be a great cop out, where you can play bad chess, scam a draw or two and go up points. In the minor I had to play good chess every round, which is much harder. John-Paul Wallace once commented that to win a divisional event, you need to play at about 200 points above the cut off. I never played at 1800 in Doeberl minor and usually played at 1400.

Now my aims are a little different. I would like to be 1800 (or A Grade). This in itself means little, buts it goal none-the-less. Also while I concede that its a little obsessive that I know that I'm 31st highest patzer in the ACT, movement up this list serves as more motivation than winning a minor.

I've moved on from that...Yes, if I had my wife's permission to play 11 rounds rather than 7 I would play in the Major. I generally like to play "up" too.

michael.mcguirk
05-11-2009, 11:09 PM
Should be gaining a good 100 points or so, up around the 1750 mark. Couple of lost opportunities for a few more better wins, but a couple of nice ones to my name this go: 450 point upset against Mandla, 300 point upset against Bernie O'Riordan

Tony Dowden
07-11-2009, 07:48 PM
I will lose about 15 rating points and slide down to 1960-1970 or so :( --- mainly due to my last round game in the MCC Cup where I spun out against David Beaumont aka 'firegoat'.

Good points earlier on this thread about playing up. Over the years I reckon I've picked up 400-500 points 'playing up' and, conversely, donated around 600-700 points 'playing down' ...

ER
08-11-2009, 04:16 AM
up or down, hmmm I am going down! :P BTW my chess scene will be drastically changed for next year. Work and other arrangements make it almost impossible to play Tuesdays and Fridays. So, for 2010 good bye BHCC and hello MCC!

queenant89
08-11-2009, 01:50 PM
Congrats.. playing up is the best way of improving... and it has less pressure than being a top seed in ur own divison.... therefore more likely to bring ur best....


Anyhow i do predict that my rating will decrease again... :(

ER
27-11-2009, 12:38 AM
Don't lose heart Sarah! Go ahead and conquer the realms of your caissaic enemies, and don't forget to keep on improving on that fine art of chocolate brownies as well! yummy ! :)

Garrett
27-11-2009, 06:56 AM
1870

Rincewind
27-11-2009, 07:40 AM
1870

Emperor Napoleon III deposed? ;)

Thunderspirit
27-11-2009, 09:20 PM
I played one 5 round event this list. I scored 5/5 though the last was a forfiet.

I beat a 1013, 1032, 1573 and 1510, so I'm guessing I'll go from 1599 to about 1610-1615.

Garrett
28-11-2009, 07:25 AM
I played one 5 round event this list. I scored 5/5 though the last was a forfiet.

I beat a 1013, 1032, 1573 and 1510, so I'm guessing I'll go from 1599 to about 1610-1615.

I'd be guessing closer to 1615.

Ian Rout
28-11-2009, 08:22 AM
I played one 5 round event this list. I scored 5/5 though the last was a forfiet.

I beat a 1013, 1032, 1573 and 1510, so I'm guessing I'll go from 1599 to about 1610-1615.
This is of course assuming that TCC are going to send the tournament files in the next couple of days ...

Ian Rout
30-11-2009, 08:42 AM
I expect to drop about 15 points to around 1865.

Igor_Goldenberg
30-11-2009, 10:32 AM
I might finally break 2300 barrier:lol:

Igor_Goldenberg
01-12-2009, 07:45 AM
I might finally break 2300 barrier:lol:
Well, a bit more work required. Maybe next rating list:lol: