View Poll Results: Who will win? (This poll asks who you think will win, not who you want to win)

Voters
12. You may not vote on this poll
  • Coalition >25 seat majority

    0 0%
  • Coalition 11-25 seat majority

    0 0%
  • Coalition 1-9 seat majority

    4 33.33%
  • Coalition minority gov

    1 8.33%
  • Labor minority gov

    0 0%
  • Labor 1-9 seat majority

    4 33.33%
  • Labor 11-25 seat majority

    3 25.00%
  • Labor >25 seat majority

    0 0%
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  1. #1
    Monster of the deep Kevin Bonham's Avatar
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    Federal Election 2022

    Belated poll thread for the 2022 Federal Election.

    I have changed the poll options slightly from previous years. Now the majority is the winner's seats minus all other seats. Thus, the 2019 result (77-68-6) is a 3-seat majority and would go in the 1-9 seat range. (A 10-seat majority is not included as it is mathematically impossible.) Also now I am including a minority option for each party.

    Minority: 75 or less seats
    1-9 seat majority: 76 to 80 seats
    11-25 seat majority: 81 to 88 seats
    >25 seat majority: 89+ seats
    Last edited by Kevin Bonham; 12-04-2022 at 11:37 PM.
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  2. #2
    CC International Master
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    The polls seem to be favouring Labor so I think they will win the Federal election

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scott Colliver View Post
    The polls seem to be favouring Labor so I think they will win the Federal election
    The polls favoured Labor last time as well.
    FA Andrew Hardegen
    Southern Suburbs Chess Club (Perth)
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  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Andrew Hardegen View Post
    The polls favoured Labor last time as well.
    True, they might be wrong again. However they are all we have to go by.

  5. #5
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    As I had a few hours to fill in I put an entry into Rupert's "SuperVoter" competition which involves selecting 151 winners. It transpired that I had Labor winning 76-68-7 so to be consistent I've gone for the same here (Labor 1-9).

  6. #6
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    I am going to vote Labor in the seat of Kingston, a safe Labour seat held by Amanda Rishworth.

    However I am far than impressed by Anthony Albanese, I think he is a poor leader. I do not think he speaks well and if Labor somehow loses this election then it part of it at least is going to be because Labor did not have a better leader. Last time Bill Shorten failed as leader and maybe we are going to see the same thing happen again.

  7. #7
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    I watched some of the debate tonight and if the best Australia can come up with to lead the country is those two completely uninspiring men then something is very wrong.

  8. #8
    Monster of the deep Kevin Bonham's Avatar
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    At least the moderation was much better than Nine's utter shambles on Sunday night.
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  9. #9
    Monster of the deep Kevin Bonham's Avatar
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    Just an announcement that this Saturday from 8 pm to 9 pm (perhaps later) I will be doing an Ask Me Anything (AMA) on the r/AustralianPolitics subreddit on Reddit. This is a chance for people to bombard me with questions that I will then attempt to answer at warp speed (I believe you need to sign up to participate, but anyone can read it without being signed in). The AMA is in relation to the 2022 federal election and polling.
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  10. #10
    CC International Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kevin Bonham View Post
    Just an announcement that this Saturday from 8 pm to 9 pm (perhaps later) I will be doing an Ask Me Anything (AMA) on the r/AustralianPolitics subreddit on Reddit. This is a chance for people to bombard me with questions that I will then attempt to answer at warp speed (I believe you need to sign up to participate, but anyone can read it without being signed in). The AMA is in relation to the 2022 federal election and polling.
    I forgot this was on, sorry.

  11. #11
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    Less than a week to go until Morrison and his cronies are kicked out of office. If the polling is accurate it could be a reasonable size victory for Labor.

  12. #12
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    I have now read the AMA and there is a lot of good work by Kevin in answering the questions

  13. #13
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    Looks like Labor wants to fight inflation by increasing minimal pay....typical Labor
    On the positive side - Liberals promised up to 40% of super being available as deposite for first home buyers on property purchases.
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  14. #14
    Monster of the deep Kevin Bonham's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelBaron View Post
    On the positive side - Liberals promised up to 40% of super being available as deposite for first home buyers on property purchases.
    Probably one of the worst policies I have ever seen in my life - will only make it easier for people with no money to buy houses and hence drive up property prices and rentals even more.
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  15. #15
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kevin Bonham View Post
    Probably one of the worst policies I have ever seen in my life - will only make it easier for people with no money to buy houses and hence drive up property prices and rentals even more.
    While at the same time driving down the superannuation nest-egg available on retirement and the compound interest otherwise accruing during their working lives

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