View Poll Results: Who will win? (This poll asks who you think will win, not who you want to win)

Voters
12. You may not vote on this poll
  • Coalition >25 seat majority

    0 0%
  • Coalition 11-25 seat majority

    0 0%
  • Coalition 1-9 seat majority

    4 33.33%
  • Coalition minority gov

    1 8.33%
  • Labor minority gov

    0 0%
  • Labor 1-9 seat majority

    4 33.33%
  • Labor 11-25 seat majority

    3 25.00%
  • Labor >25 seat majority

    0 0%
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  1. #1
    Monster of the deep Kevin Bonham's Avatar
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    Federal Election 2022

    Belated poll thread for the 2022 Federal Election.

    I have changed the poll options slightly from previous years. Now the majority is the winner's seats minus all other seats. Thus, the 2019 result (77-68-6) is a 3-seat majority and would go in the 1-9 seat range. (A 10-seat majority is not included as it is mathematically impossible.) Also now I am including a minority option for each party.

    Minority: 75 or less seats
    1-9 seat majority: 76 to 80 seats
    11-25 seat majority: 81 to 88 seats
    >25 seat majority: 89+ seats
    Last edited by Kevin Bonham; 12-04-2022 at 11:37 PM.
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  2. #2
    CC International Master
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    The polls seem to be favouring Labor so I think they will win the Federal election

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scott Colliver View Post
    The polls seem to be favouring Labor so I think they will win the Federal election
    The polls favoured Labor last time as well.
    FA Andrew Hardegen
    Southern Suburbs Chess Club (Perth)
    www.southernsuburbschessclub.org.au

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Andrew Hardegen View Post
    The polls favoured Labor last time as well.
    True, they might be wrong again. However they are all we have to go by.

  5. #5
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    As I had a few hours to fill in I put an entry into Rupert's "SuperVoter" competition which involves selecting 151 winners. It transpired that I had Labor winning 76-68-7 so to be consistent I've gone for the same here (Labor 1-9).

  6. #6
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    I am going to vote Labor in the seat of Kingston, a safe Labour seat held by Amanda Rishworth.

    However I am far than impressed by Anthony Albanese, I think he is a poor leader. I do not think he speaks well and if Labor somehow loses this election then it part of it at least is going to be because Labor did not have a better leader. Last time Bill Shorten failed as leader and maybe we are going to see the same thing happen again.

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ian Rout View Post
    As I had a few hours to fill in I put an entry into Rupert's "SuperVoter" competition which involves selecting 151 winners. It transpired that I had Labor winning 76-68-7 so to be consistent I've gone for the same here (Labor 1-9).
    Good luck - predicting every seat is almost impossible, as there's bound to be some surprises.

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scott Colliver View Post
    True, they might be wrong again. However they are all we have to go by.
    It's unlikely they'll be wrong again, especially as they are far more decisive for Labor this time. Although I still can't believe that the Greens will win Ryan!

    It's strange that nobody has voted for a Labor minority government, even though all the likely adjacent options on both sides are taken.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Byrom View Post
    It's unlikely they'll be wrong again, especially as they are far more decisive for Labor this time. Although I still can't believe that the Greens will win Ryan!
    But they did!

    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Byrom View Post
    It's strange that nobody has voted for a Labor minority government, even though all the likely adjacent options on both sides are taken.
    Thanks to WA, a small Labor majority seems fairly safe. Either way, Albanese is likely to attend the Quad meeting as our next PM.

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