View Poll Results: Who will win the 2022 Candidates Tournament?

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  • Fabiano Caruana

    4 33.33%
  • Ding Liren

    3 25.00%
  • Jan-Krzystof Duda

    0 0%
  • Alireza Firouzja

    4 33.33%
  • Hikaru Nakamura

    1 8.33%
  • Ian Nepomniachtchi

    0 0%
  • Teimour Radjabov

    0 0%
  • Richard Rapport

    0 0%
  • Sergey Karjakin

    0 0%
  • Other (late substitute)

    0 0%
  • No winner / event abandoned or cancelled

    0 0%
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  1. #91
    CC Grandmaster Desmond's Avatar
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    Yes you're right Scott. Updated standings:

    1. Nepo 4.5/6 +3
    2. Caruana 4/6 +2
    3-4. Nakamura, Rapport 3/6 +0
    5-7. Ding, Radjabov, Duda 2.5/6 -1
    8. Firouzja 2/6 -2.
    So what's your excuse? For running like the devil's chasing you?

    See you in another life, brotha.

  2. #92
    CC International Master
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    I watched Nakamura going over his game with Ding and he was very disappointed because he thought he had a position where Ding could easily go astray and give him a winning attack. However Ding found all the best moves and the game ended in a draw.

  3. #93
    CC Grandmaster Desmond's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scott Colliver View Post
    I watched Nakamura going over his game with Ding and he was very disappointed because he thought he had a position where Ding could easily go astray and give him a winning attack. However Ding found all the best moves and the game ended in a draw.
    I didn't watch the latest round yet, but this sounds quite similar to Ding pushing against Fabi a few days ago. Seemed like there might be something there, but Fabi navigated it brilliantly and made the defence look easy.
    Firouzja has looked quite out of sorts. Very well booked up, but once he gets out of book he's burning a lot of time.
    So what's your excuse? For running like the devil's chasing you?

    See you in another life, brotha.

  4. #94
    CC Grandmaster Capablanca-Fan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scott Colliver View Post
    Nepo and Caruana both win to make it look like a race between the two of them.

    Firouzja now in last place has no chance of winning the Candidates.
    Both the leaders were recent challengers and lost. If either of them wins then Magnus cedes the title, they would be the best placeholders, making the best of an unsatisfactory solution.

    It is NOT akin to Karpov winning the title in 1975. He not only won the Candidates, beating Spassky as convincingly as Fischer had, but also had never even met Fischer let alone lost to him. (In hindsight, Karpov proved he was a most worthy champion.) Rather, it would be more like Spassky or Petrosian winning the 1974 Candidates cycle then inheriting the title from the man who thrashed both of them.
    “The history of the 20th century is full of examples of countries that set out to redistribute wealth and ended up redistributing poverty.”
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  5. #95
    CC International Master
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    Nepo wins again after Rapport makes a terrible deecision to reject a repetition for a much worse position

  6. #96
    CC International Master
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    Caruana wins a long game against Radjabov to stay 1/2 a point behind Nepo

  7. #97
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    Aamzing luck for Nepo - opponent falling for his long computer analysis.
    Interested in Chess Lessons?
    Email webbaron!@gmail.com for more Info!

  8. #98
    CC International Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelBaron View Post
    Aamzing luck for Nepo - opponent falling for his long computer analysis.
    Actually it wasn't his - according to Caruana the line has been known for a decade and is regarded as a draw. See this video from about the 10m point:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MUMAAIgC2o8

  9. #99
    CC Grandmaster Desmond's Avatar
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    Nepo's lead extended thanks to Naka defeating Caruana. Caruana - Nepo tonight will be key if anyone is able to catch him, it must be getting into must-win territory now for Fabi.

    1. Nepo 6/8 +4
    2. Caruana 5/8 +2
    3. Nakamura 4.5/8 +1
    4. Rapport 4/8 +0
    5. Ding 3.5/8 -1
    6-8. Duda, Radjabov, Firouzja 3/8 -2
    So what's your excuse? For running like the devil's chasing you?

    See you in another life, brotha.

  10. #100
    CC International Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desmond View Post
    Nepo's lead extended thanks to Naka defeating Caruana. Caruana - Nepo tonight will be key if anyone is able to catch him, it must be getting into must-win territory now for Fabi.

    1. Nepo 6/8 +4
    2. Caruana 5/8 +2
    3. Nakamura 4.5/8 +1
    4. Rapport 4/8 +0
    5. Ding 3.5/8 -1
    6-8. Duda, Radjabov, Firouzja 3/8 -2
    Yes, Caruana probably needs a win and if Nepo wins it is probably all over barring a big collapse from Nepo.
    Nakamura will need to play for a win as black again Radjabov to keep his very slim chances alive
    The other two games tonight might be interesting but they are really irrelevant to 1st place

  11. #101
    Monster of the deep Kevin Bonham's Avatar
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    Three decisive games but Nepo survives a rather bad position after Caruana's 24.Bxf5 instead of 24.Bf1 allows mass liquidation. Nepo one ahead with five to play.

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  12. #102
    CC Grandmaster
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    Amazing luck. Everything keep's going Nepo's way.
    Interested in Chess Lessons?
    Email webbaron!@gmail.com for more Info!

  13. #103
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    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelBaron View Post
    Amazing luck. Everything keep's going Nepo's way.
    Yes it does seem to be although even if Caruana had found Bf1 it still would have been a incredibly complex position

  14. #104
    CC FIDE Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelBaron View Post
    Amazing luck. Everything keep's going Nepo's way.
    But can he equal Topalov's 10/14 in 2005?
    FA Andrew Hardegen
    Southern Suburbs Chess Club (Perth)
    www.southernsuburbschessclub.org.au

  15. #105
    CC FIDE Master
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    To win the Candidates, bet365 is currently giving odds of $1.16 for Nepo, and $5.50 for Fabi.
    FA Andrew Hardegen
    Southern Suburbs Chess Club (Perth)
    www.southernsuburbschessclub.org.au

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