
Originally Posted by
Patrick Byrom
The original paper can be found
here, published in the journal
Studies in Applied Economics.
Not a well-known journal: ...
Unfortunately for lockdown opponents, the much lower death toll during the earlier lockdowns in Australia, despite our current high vaccination rate, proves conclusively that lockdowns do reduce death rates.
The paper is even worse than I thought:
In their new report, Herby et al appear to define lockdown as imposition of one or more mandatory non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs); by that definition, the UK has been in permanent lockdown since 16th of March 2021, and remains in lockdown – given it remain[sic] compulsory for people with diagnosed COVID-19 to self-isolate for at least 5 days.
With that definition, Qld is currently in lockdown, because people are required to wear masks indoors. The idea that the effect of this policy is equivalent to the effect of an actual lockdown is ridiculous!
Peer-reviewed studies, such as this one, find completely the opposite effect:
Our results show that major non-pharmaceutical interventions—and lockdowns in particular—have had a large effect on reducing transmission. Continued intervention should be considered to keep transmission of SARS-CoV-2 under control.