View Poll Results: WHO WILL WIN? (THIS POLL ASKS WHO WILL WIN, NOT WHO DO YOU WANT TO WIN)

Voters
12. You may not vote on this poll
  • Coalition by >30 seats

    0 0%
  • Coalition by 16-30 seats

    0 0%
  • Coalition by 15 or fewer seats [CORRECT]

    4 33.33%
  • Hung parliament

    0 0%
  • Labor by 15 or fewer seats

    6 50.00%
  • Labor by 16-30 seats

    1 8.33%
  • Labor by >30 seats

    1 8.33%
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  1. #1
    Monster of the deep Kevin Bonham's Avatar
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    Federal Election 2019 [COALITION WINS]

    This is the thread for discussion of the 2019 Federal election on May 18. As usual side-discussions that develop about specific issues may be split to new threads.

    For those voting on the thread, please bear in mind that it is a long way to the election as the thread starts!

    For definition of the poll question, the margin is measured as (seats for winning party) minus (seats for defeated party). So the 2016 election (76-69-5) was a Coalition win by 7 seats.

  2. #2
    CC Grandmaster road runner's Avatar
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    Having missed out on a NSW senate seat, is Ljeyonhelm able to pivot back to the federal race?
    meep meep

  3. #3
    CC International Master
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    Quote Originally Posted by road runner View Post
    Having missed out on a NSW senate seat, is Ljeyonhelm able to pivot back to the federal race?
    Presumably yes - nominations are open until 23 April.

  4. #4
    CC Grandmaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by road runner View Post
    Having missed out on a NSW senate seat, is Ljeyonhelm able to pivot back to the federal race?
    He's said that he is done with politics, and his chances at a Federal level would be much worse than in NSW, so I expect he's gone (for now).

  5. #5
    CC Grandmaster Garvinator's Avatar
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    Christopher Pyne has quit, so the Coalition are no longer an election winning machine, so everyone can rule out Coalition willing by 30+ seats

  6. #6
    CC Grandmaster road runner's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Garvinator View Post
    Christopher Pyne has quit, so the Coalition are no longer an election winning machine, so everyone can rule out Coalition willing by 30+ seats
    I'm tossing up between 2 outcomes, but that wasn't one of them.
    meep meep

  7. #7
    CC Grandmaster
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    So which political party is going to Reduce my taxes?
    If more than one - which one will give my taxes the greatest cut?
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  8. #8
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelBaron View Post
    So which political party is going to Reduce my taxes?
    If more than one - which one will give my taxes the greatest cut?
    If you're on 180 grand or better, the Coalition will hand you a share of $77 billion which the rest of us won't see

  9. #9
    CC Grandmaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ian Murray View Post
    If you're on 180 grand or better, the Coalition will hand you a share of $77 billion which the rest of us won't see
    Thank you and I am safe to assume that the Coalition is also (out of the mainstream parties) more likely to allocate less funding towards Refugees, Indigenous Programs? Unemployed?

    In this imperfect world, voting is compulsory so I want to make the most of it - voting for the party that will at least to some extent stand for what I am standing for.
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  10. #10
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelBaron View Post
    Thank you and I am safe to assume that the Coalition is also (out of the mainstream parties) more likely to allocate less funding towards Refugees, Indigenous Programs? Unemployed?
    The Coalition is wasting billions on refugees, with no end in sight (e.g. $187 million to re-open Christmas Island this year, for the much-heralded swarm of medevac asylum seekers, which as was obvious was not going to happen and didn't).

    In this imperfect world, voting is compulsory so I want to make the most of it - voting for the party that will at least to some extent stand for what I am standing for.
    AS has been demonstrated over the last 30 years, the majority of Australian voters are no longer swayed by promised tax cuts. They want governments which can fix the things they can't fix by themselves. This election the major issue is climate action.
    Last edited by Ian Murray; 22-04-2019 at 08:07 PM.

  11. #11
    CC Grandmaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ian Murray View Post
    The Coalition is wasting billions on refugees, with no end in sight (e.g. $187 million to re-open Christmas Island this year, for the much-heralded swarm of medevac asylum seekers, which as was obvious was not going to happen and didn't).



    AS has been demonstrated over the last 30 years, the majority of Australian voters are no longer swayed by promised tax cuts. They want governments which can fix the things they can't fix by themselves. This election the major issue is climate action.
    For me climate action is not an issue.
    I am far more concerned about economic issues. Want a budget that helps our economy to develop.
    Re other voters - its up to them of course. The very idea of elections is that people do not have to side with the ''majority''.

    Anyway, thx for the clarification.
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  12. #12
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by MichaelBaron View Post
    ...The very idea of elections is that people do not have to side with the ''majority''.
    No, but when more people side with a party or an issue then they become the majority (or plurality).

  13. #13
    CC Grandmaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ian Murray View Post
    No, but when more people side with a party or an issue then they become the majority (or plurality).
    Obviously yes...and this is indeed a problem .
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  14. #14
    CC Grandmaster ER's Avatar
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    investments and superannuation for me!
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  15. #15
    CC Grandmaster
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    Quote Originally Posted by ER View Post
    investments and superannuation for me!
    Good call!
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