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  1. #4261
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    World Bank to invest $200bn to combat climate change
    The Guardian
    3.12.18

    The World Bank is to make about $200bn (£157bn) available to fund action on climate change from 2021-25, helping countries adapt to the effects of warming and reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

    The sum represents a doubling of the five-year investment plan put in place after the landmark Paris agreement of 2015.

    Governments will meet in Poland this week and next to thrash out an implementation plan for the Paris accord, which binds countries to hold global warming to no more than 2C ... above pre-industrial levels, with an aspiration of a 1.5C limit.

    Reports have shown the dangers of extreme weather if warming reaches 1.5C, and the need for governments to more than triple their efforts if these goals are to be maintained....

  2. #4262
    Batoutahelius road runner's Avatar
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    Climate change signals and impacts continue in 2018
    1 December 2018

    The long-term warming trend has continued in 2018, with the average global temperature set to be the fourth highest on record. The 20 warmest years on record have been in the past 22 years, with the top four in the past four years, according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

    Other tell-tale signs of climate change, including sea level rise, ocean heat and acidification and sea-ice and glacier melt continue, whilst extreme weather left a trail of devastation on all continents, according to the WMO provisional Statement on the State of the Climate in 2018. It includes details of impacts of climate change based on contributions from a wide range of United Nations partners.

    The report shows that the global average temperature for the first ten months of the year was nearly 1°C above the pre-industrial baseline (1850-1900). This is based on five independently maintained global temperature data sets.

    We are not on track to meet climate change targets and rein in temperature increases,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas. “Greenhouse gas concentrations are once again at record levels and if the current trend continues we may see temperature increases 3-5°C by the end of the century. If we exploit all known fossil fuel resources, the temperature rise will be considerably higher,” he said.

    “It is worth repeating once again that we are the first generation to fully understand climate change and the last generation to be able to do something about it,” said Mr Taalas.

    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) special report on Global Warming of 1.5°C reported that the average global temperature for the decade 2006-2015 was 0.86°C above the pre-industrial baseline. The average increase above the same baseline for the most recent decade 2009-2018 was about 0.93°C and for the past five years, 2014-2018, was 1.04°C above the pre-industrial baseline.

    “These are more than just numbers,” said WMO Deputy Secretary-General Elena Manaenkova.

    Every fraction of a degree of warming makes a difference to human health and access to food and fresh water, to the extinction of animals and plants, to the survival of coral reefs and marine life. It makes a difference to economic productivity, food security, and to the resilience of our infrastructure and cities. It makes a difference to the speed of glacier melt and water supplies, and the future of low-lying islands and coastal communities. Every extra bit matters,” said Ms Manaenkova.
    ...
    meep meep

  3. #4263
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by road runner View Post
    Climate change signals and impacts continue in 2018
    1 December 2018

    The long-term warming trend has continued in 2018, with the average global temperature set to be the fourth highest on record. The 20 warmest years on record have been in the past 22 years, with the top four in the past four years, according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

    Other tell-tale signs of climate change, including sea level rise, ocean heat and acidification and sea-ice and glacier melt continue, whilst extreme weather left a trail of devastation on all continents, according to the WMO provisional Statement on the State of the Climate in 2018. It includes details of impacts of climate change based on contributions from a wide range of United Nations partners.
    ...
    And our so-called leaders keep on dismissing the threat: "Move along, nothing to see here"

  4. #4264
    CC Grandmaster antichrist's Avatar
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    In Kevin Rudd's recently released book the PM Years he tells how Julia Gillard sabotaged his double dissolution intention on climate change legislation - maybe it is because she is barren do does not care about the future
    Zionism is racism as defined by the UN, Israel by every dirty means available steals land and water, kill Palestinian freedom fighters and civilians, and operates an apartheid system to drive more Palestinians off their land

  5. #4265
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    Quote Originally Posted by antichrist View Post
    In Kevin Rudd's recently released book the PM Years he tells how Julia Gillard sabotaged his double dissolution intention on climate change legislation - maybe it is because she is barren do does not care about the future
    You do remember who introduced the only effective legislation to reduce emissions, don't you?

  6. #4266
    CC Grandmaster antichrist's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Byrom View Post
    You do remember who introduced the only effective legislation to reduce emissions, don't you?
    you are probably correct there but the issue deserved a double dissolution to king hit the reactionaries on it. I wonder if Rudd is whitewashing history because that Xmas break he wrote a childrens book or something.
    Zionism is racism as defined by the UN, Israel by every dirty means available steals land and water, kill Palestinian freedom fighters and civilians, and operates an apartheid system to drive more Palestinians off their land

  7. #4267
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Byrom View Post
    You do remember who introduced the only effective legislation to reduce emissions, don't you?
    Gillard prevailed upon Rudd to defer the ETS legislation for three years, usurped him while promising no carbon tax, then introduced a carbon price. While emissions came down, it was very messy with the JuLIAR chants, and allowed Abbott, a ruthless conservative, to exploit the schism.

  8. #4268
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    India on track to meet majority of Paris goals
    IEEFA Update
    3.12.18

    ...The Paris Agreement requested each country outline, update and communicate their post-2020 climate actions, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), reflecting a country’s ambition for reducing emissions, taking into account its domestic circumstances and capabilities.

    India’s NDCs included three key targets:

    To achieve 40% of electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuel by 2030, representing a jump of 33% over non-fossil fuel capacity of 2015;
    To reduce the emissions intensity of its gross domestic product (GDP) by 33-35% from the 2005 level to 2030, through an increased focus on energy efficiency and renewable energy, to include 175 gigawatt (GW) of renewables by 2022, the development of 25 solar industrial parks, and for India to anchor the global solar alliance; and
    To create an additional 2.5-3.0 billion tonnes of carbon sinks – reservoirs that accumulate and store carbon dioxide, through the planting of additional forest and tree cover. (While this is not part of IEEFA’s work, we understand India is behind schedule on this key target.)

    India has plans in place to surpass the first two targets. India’s visionary National Electricity Plan (NEP) 2018 has established a clear pathway for the country to well exceed the first target, being 40% of electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuels by 2030.

    The NEP 2018 also forecast fossil fuel capacity would shift from 218 GW or 67% of 2017 installed capacity to 264GW, or just 43% of total installed capacity by 2027. IEEFA estimates India’s thermal power capacity will be 226GW, or 63% of India’s total of 360GW, by March 2019.

    In a significant achievement, India’s non-fossil fuel capacity target is set to exceed a 40% share for the first time by the close of calendar 2019, a decade early.

    Renewable energy (excluding large scale hydro power) is targeted at 275GW by 2027, representing a fivefold expansion on March 2017 installations of 57GW. Renewables alone would represent 44% of installed system capacity by 2027, with hydro and nuclear representing another 80GW or 13% of the 619GW total....

  9. #4269
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    2018 - the hottest La Niña year ever recorded

    Once the final official global annual surface temperature is published, 2018 will be the hottest La Niña year on record, by a wide margin. It will be the fourth-hottest year overall, and the fourth consecutive year more than 1°C (1.8°F) hotter than temperatures in the late-1800s, when reliable measurements began. 2009 will be bumped to second-hottest La Niña year on record, at 0.87°C (1.6°F) warmer than the late-1800s, but about 0.16°C (0.29°F) cooler than 2018.
    ...

    The global warming trend is clear
    The overall global surface warming trend over the past five decades is 0.18°C (0.32°F) per decade. The trends among just El Niño (0.19°C or 0.34°F per decade), neutral (0.17°C or 0.31°F per decade), and La Niña years (0.19°C or 0.34°F per decade) during that period are all very similar.

    Over short time intervals of a few years, if there is an abundance of La Niña events, global surface warming will appear to temporarily slow down because La Niña years are cooler than neutral and El Niño years. That happened between 1999 and 2012, when half of those 14 years were cooled by La Niña events. As a result, there were widespread claims that a global warming “pause” or “hiatus” had begun.

    Fast forward, and 2014 through 2018 have been the five hottest years ever recorded. Those who proclaimed global warming had stopped or “paused” are now looking rather foolish. ...
    meep meep

  10. #4270
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    Quote Originally Posted by road runner View Post
    2018 - the hottest La Niña year ever recorded
    ...Fast forward, and 2014 through 2018 have been the five hottest years ever recorded. Those who proclaimed global warming had stopped or “paused” are now looking rather foolish. ...
    Especially if you live in Australia!
    Temperature records have been broken as a heatwave continues across the country and parts of South Australia are expected to enter catastrophic fire conditions later on Friday. Marble Bar in north-western Western Australia broke its all-time heat record on Thursday, reaching 49.3C. In northern Victoria, Mildura had another day of temperatures in the mid-40s, reaching 44C on Thursday. In New South Wales, Menindee, near Broken Hill, and Wentworth, near the Victorian border, peaked at 45C.

  11. #4271
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    In 2018 the Australian government chased its energy tail. Here's a more hopeful story
    The Guardian op-ed
    2.1.19

    While the government continued to trash Australia’s international reputation by reaffirming allegiance to coal on the global stage, lying about progress on our climate commitments and dismissing the findings of the landmark IPCC report, the transformation in our electricity sector tells a different and hopeful story.

    Attacks by the former prime minister Tony Abbott and his environment minister Greg Hunt on the renewable energy target, and the investment strike that followed, are a fading memory. Momentum is now unstoppable.

    In the three years from 2018 Australia will install a little over 12 gigawatts of renewables, as much as was installed in the 30 years after the country’s first windfarm opened at Salmon Beach in Western Australia in 1987.

    Since 2017, 19 new windfarms and 30 new solar farms have been registered and in early December the two millionth Australian household went solar. Once derided as insignificant, solar supplied more than 7% of Australia’s power over the past three months.

    A little over a decade ago, when just 5.2% of our power was from renewables, the Rudd government was swept into office with an aspirational pledge of “20% by 2020”. That target has been met two years early, and analysts Green Energy Markets predict one-third of our power will be from clean energy by 2021....

  12. #4272
    CC Grandmaster Ian Murray's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Patrick Byrom View Post
    As with Lomborg, so with Credlin:
    When Lomborg talks about climate change, he has a set of rehearsed lines saying he accepts that climate change is real, its caused by humans and that it’s a problem. But when Lomborg does venture beyond his standard talking points into climate science commentary, he routinely infuriates genuine climate scientists. In my view, this is for good reason.
    Apart from his distortions of climate science, Lomborg's implicit argument that we can't deal with AGW and other problems simultaneously never made much sense to me.

    I don't remember the carbon tax causing major damage to our economy. The economic effect of such a tax is similar to that of a GST.

    The fact that Labor is about 10 points ahead in the polls suggests that most Australians prefer their policies, including their climate policies, to those of the Coalition.
    I started researching a reply also, but it wasn't worth the effort. Suffice to say that Lomborg is a fraud:

    Bjørn Lomborg, just a scientist with a different opinion?

    Facts4Paris: Lomborg. Wrong again.
    Last edited by Ian Murray; 11-01-2019 at 08:07 PM.

  13. #4273
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ian Murray View Post
    I started researching a reply also, but it wasn't worth the effort. Suffice to say that Lomborg is a fraud:

    Bjørn Lomborg, just a scientist with a different opinion?

    Facts4Paris: Lomborg. Wrong again.
    From that article - a picture tells a thousand words.

    meep meep

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    Bjorn Lomberg can speak for himself, of course - and has addressed the methodological issues raised here on a number of occasions, including in the Jordan Peterson podcast already linked. Here are a couple of other links for anyone interested in understanding where he's coming from vis-a-vis the Paris Agreement:
    https://www.lomborg.com/response-to-bob-ward
    https://www.lomborg.com/press-releas...imate-promises

    It should be blindingly obvious that he's trying to do what any decent economist must - a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis; and if we look at what actually has to happen for the Paris targets to be met, it's difficult to believe that it's much more than well-intentioned wishful thinking (at best).

    Lomborg wants to spend billions in R&D, 100 billion USD annually to be precise, to make renewables cheaper. His problem with Paris is that he thinks it puts the cart before the horse by trying to force countries to switch to less efficient and more expensive energy. Climate change zealots argue that renewables are already cheaper. They're wrong! China and India aren't contributing 70 billion a year to our export income because they like us. They're buying our coal because it's in their economic interest.

    There are climate change skeptics like Lord Monckton that i don't have much time for; there are some like Ian Plimer that i have some time for; there are Nobel prize winning physicists like Freeman Dawson who sometimes sound a bit like Bjorn Lomberg ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pou3...st=WL&index=64 ) and other Nobel winning physicists who definitely do believe that climate change is a hoax
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SXxH...st=WL&index=63
    Instead of demonising Lomberg as a fraud,it would be more helpful to identify his objections to Paris and respond to them. Even if he's wrong, it doesn't mean he's a fraud. I mean, just because Tim Flannery got it wrong on Perth and Al Gore got it wrong on Arctic Ice....

    Unfortunately, it's pretty clear that honest dialogue won't happen here. Not when a response to a claim that Peta Credlin will split the Liberal party is so quickly and needlessly turned into claims that Lomborg is just mouthing a set of rehearsed lines (PB) and Peta is represented as a woman without agency, just slavishly following Tony Abbott (IM).

    O well.... as you must. At least no-one reads it .... a bit like the Paris Agreement, really.
    Last edited by idledim; 14-01-2019 at 03:51 PM.

  15. #4275
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    Quote Originally Posted by idledim View Post
    Bjorn Lomberg can speak for himself, of course -
    He can and does, and it seems to me that when he does he's resoundingly put back in his box. Misrepresent data once and people will stop listening. Except those who prefer tales to data, of course.
    meep meep

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